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Last edited on
Jun 20, 2025 by JJ
.
Thesis:
Bachelor in Mathematics

Author:
Amelia Faber

Title:
Gaussian mean estimation and model selection without known variance

Supervisor:
Jan JOHANNES

Abstract:
In this thesis, we consider the problem of estimating the mean vector μ of a Gaussian vector Y ∈ Rn, whose components are independent and share a common, unknown variance. The estimation is performed via model selection over a countable collection of linear subspaces S of Rn, based on a penalized criterion. Our first objective is to derive a general upper bound on the risk E[∥μ − μˆmˆ ∥2], valid for any such collection and any non-negative penalty function. Building on this result, we propose a new penalty structure that balances model complexity and overfitting. We analyze both its theoretical guarantees and practical performance. As a central application, we study the problem of detecting nonzero mean components in a sparse high-dimensional setting and validate our approach through a detailed simulation study.

References:
Y. Baraud, C. Giraud, und Sylvie Huet. _Gaussian model selection with an unknown Variance, The Annals of Statistics 37(2):630–672, 2009.